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Price Co-Integration on Agricultural Products of China’s High Dependence on Imports between Domestic and International Market: 2001-2013

Yonggang Wang
Zhengzhou Institute of Aeronautical Industry Management, Zhengzhou, China

Abstract—Since the 21th century, China’s agricultural products imports increase dramatically. At present, China is one of the largest importers of oil seeds, vegetable oils, cotton and barley in the world. This paper analyses trade situation of China’s agricultural products of high dependence on imports including oil seeds, vegetable oils, cotton and barley, and discusses the integration and causality between China’s market and international market for soybeans, soybean oils, cotton and barley. It is found that: (1)There exists co-integration relationship between China’s market and international market for soybean, soybean oils, cotton and barley. (2)There exists one-way Granger causality relationship between China’s market and international market for soybean, soybean oils, cotton and barley. The international market has significant influence on China’s market, but the influence of China’s market on international market is very limited.

Index Terms—oil-seeds, vegetable-oils, cotton, barley, co-integration

Cite: Yonggang Wang, "Price Co-Integration on Agricultural Products of China’s High Dependence on Imports between Domestic and International Market: 2001-2013," Journal of Industrial and Intelligent Information, Vol. 4, No. 2, pp. 147-150, March 2016. doi: 10.18178/jiii.4.2.147-150
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